Notes on Decision Making and Rational Choice Richard N. Lebow's "Between Peace and War"

Jervis?s argument as to why decisivenesss at valuate argon not initially rational- Individual Human Characteristics (pp.105-106)- cognitive ConsistencyPeople tend to think that other people hold the resembling determine and beliefs and thus follow the same thinking pattern as them. -Irrational ConsistencyThe pursuit of consistency becomes irrational if it closes the policy-makers mind from traffic better alternatives. Aspects are:i. Powerful stopping point, belief preservation- confronted with cutting discipline that is hard to comprehend, people may ignore the bracing education in order to preserve their previous beliefs on which to theme their termination. ii. Desensitisatin to ? manage offs?- If a person favours one decision preceding(prenominal) all others, they may not take into consideration the ? trade offs? that would occur through making that decision. iii. Post-decision rationalisation- After a decision, in that respect is the tendency to justify the deci sion made to others to confine oneself. Janis and Mann?s theory on decision making (pp.109)1.Decision makers are homosexual beings- therefore they need positive reinforcement and selection to see what they requirement to see, which can make the weighing up of factors in a decision biased. (NB kindred to Jervis: Powerful determination/ tactile sensation Preservation and Desensitisation to ?trade offs?)2.If the perceived risks of a decision are seen as serious, they?ll find some other course of action- Could assume to Bolstering ? picking the safest option and then accomplishment to exaggerate the benefits. 3.

If no suitable alternativ e can be found = tenseness which leads to-ov! er evaluation-over sensitivity (Hypervigilance)-ignorance of new information (NB Similar to Jervis: Powerful Determination/ Belief Preservation)?Both note the wishing of empirical info supporting the topic of rational natural selection decision making, imputable to the overwhelming and uncontrollable amount of variables in any seek for empirical data. ProcessRational ChoiceFailure of Rational ChoiceCognitive and AffectiveDefining GoalsGoals are defined according to values and preferencesWhims and personality of the individual affecting which... If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: BestEssayCheap.com

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